John Fraser was asked recently whether internal audit should perform risk assessments, assuming an effective Enterprise Risk Management function exists. He argued that IA should provide assurance that ERM processes work effectively and validate that key controls assumed to be functioning actually operate as intended.
Internal audit risk assessment is the process of deciding where assurance work should focus and what areas warrant closer independent review.
The real question behind the question
Strip away the terminology and the core purpose becomes clearer. The ultimate purpose of whatever “ERM” and “IA” are meant to mean or be can surely only legitimately be that the organisation makes the best decisions it can.
Organisational success depends on consistent quality decision-making across all levels. In Deciding, Grant Purdy and I outline a Universal Decision-Making Method applicable to all decision-makers. We call them Deciders, because that is what they are.
Quality at the source, not inspection after the fact
There is a parallel to manufacturing quality control. Processes shifted decades ago from inspecting finished products to ensuring quality throughout production. The inspection model was expensive and caught problems too late. The quality-throughout model prevented them.
Organisational monitoring should follow the same logic. Focus on decision-making quality rather than post-decision evaluation. Monitor the assumptions that decisions rest on, not the outputs that have already happened. By the time you are inspecting the output, the decision is old and the damage, if any, is done. A risk assessment process built around the decision would catch the weak assumption before the commitment, not after the outcome.
What governance bodies should actually ask
Governance bodies should directly assess decision-making capability rather than outsourcing reassurance to hired auditors or risk managers. The IIA's Three Lines Model codified that outsourcing, assigning governance to a structure of lines rather than to the quality of thinking. The question is not “should internal audit perform a risk assessment?” The question is “are the people making decisions in this organisation doing it well, and how would we know?” That is the question the Universal Decision-Making Method is built to answer.
You could ask internal audit for another risk map and still miss the decision underneath.
Work through your decisionNo sign-up. Just pick your decision and start.
Roger Estall was the co-author, with Grant Purdy, of Deciding (2020). He chaired the New Zealand Fire Service Commission and was a founding chairman of the NZ Society for Risk Management.